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Other studies have made similar estimations. In June last year two thirds of bettors surveyed by YouGov said the tax increase, which will also hit online sports betting from next year, would drive them to play with unlicensed operators.
The UK has historically maintained a high channelisation rate due to it being particuarly mature with a huge competitive offering. According to the report, up to 1,491 licensed sites provides sufficient choice for engaged players.
The report utilised various methods to estimate the size and scale of Europe’s black market, including web traffic, digital marketing, macros data and regulations in place across the 28 markets surveyed.
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If the research firm’s $190 billion taker volume estimate proves accurate, it’d represent a more than eightfold increase from the $22 billion taker turnover seen last year.
Potentially boding well for the Macquarie forecast are at least two factors. First, there are signs of turnover increases across a variety of yes/no exchanges. Second, volume surged to start September with those spikes arriving even before the NFL season kicked off.
As Macquarie analyst Chad Beynon points out, prediction markets generated $4.3 billion in taker volume during the first week of September without any help from the NFL, building on momentum from the 2026 World Cup. However, the NFL’s impact was immediate, with taker volume hitting a daily record during Week 1 of the campaign.
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Spinomenal has added another Mesoamerican title to its portfolio. 3 Aztec Spells is a five-reel slot with fixed paylines and an Aztec theme, and it went live on September 21, 2026.
The news here is less about any single mechanic than about continuity. 3 Aztec Spells is the latest entry in Spinomenal’s ongoing habit of grouping releases into recognizable, numbered families built around repeatable themes.
For an experienced slots reader, that pattern is the real story. The release reflects how Spinomenal keeps volume high by iterating on established formats rather than reinventing its core proposition with each launch.